Positive (+) and negative (-) factors for DOLLAR: (+) FED still saying about % rates rising; (+) yearly GDP cycles suggest recovery of GDP in the middle of year closer to 3% (that on 1% above EU and GB); (+) local dollar falling from 1.05 to 1.15 (over 10%) increasing export and rising of Manufact. PMI, that will start recovery, and also increasing CPI rising because of more expensive foreign goods, that support % rates increasing; (-) falling of WTI prices decreasing CPI and perspectives for % rates. But now oil will be trading in range of $42 - $49, that will stabilize situation. Only falling below $42 will open road to $37, that will be negative for CPI and % rates.
Today after Draghi speech market strated strong and fast uptred, that is looks very strange, because Draghi didn't said anything new to the market. Same time today we have Yellen speech and looking that market now is trading on the key resistance level, very possible that Yellen will be able to turn market down. An downtrend will start as soon, as the market drops below support level 1.1320fx/1.1365cme, which will be followed by a move down to support level 1.1170fx/1.1240cme.
Uptrend scenario: Market is going to start downtrend from resistance level 1255 - 1258, with target on support level 1243 and this downtrend may be expected to continue, while market is trading below resistance level 1258. Downtrend scenario: An uptrend will start as soon as the market rises above resistance level 1258, which will be followed by a move up to resistance level 1263 - 1268.
Hello traders, here is my news trading statement with results for 2 month: august and september. From it you can see, that most part of profit (over 70%) for now I made not from currency/forex trades, but from instruments like: gold, oil, wheat, corn, soybeans, cotton and other.
I did't post trading results for a long time, because after previous trading statement and withdrawal I have made resting during 2 weeks and when during next 2 weeks market was without trading conditions, so 1 month fell from trading. Need to say that this trading period was difficult, beucase we had many of speech of FED and ECB chairmans and market was not able to became in balance, when after each next speech all trading models/levels/patterns was broke and very-very fast. When we had Brexit and again 2 week was felt from trading, and seems that next one week also will be non-trading. So I can't say that trading result is good, by digitals, but looking on market conditions I'm glad that I have made this profit and have what to spend.
I started to trade in the second part of January 2016, after all holidays, but this start was diffucult due to fact, that after all holidays is was not easy to reestablish desire to hard work. In that case January was closed with 0 profit. But the next month, Febryary, became very good and bring to me +2872 pips of profit, that is +107% to my deposit.
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